Barclays Premier League Finale – Stats and Tips
Arsenal vs. West Brom
Regardless of their own result, or results elsewhere Arsenal will finish this season in a rather disappointing third. Depending on other results, the only way West Brom can move is up – to a possible 10th depending on other results above them. Arsenal are coming off the back of a frustrating 0-0 with Sunderland, West Brom coming off the back of a remarkable 3-0 win over the Champions, Chelsea – anything could happen here!
Stats; West Brom are undefeated in their last five games. Arsenal are undefeated in 34 of their last 36 Home PL games, although, have failed to score in their last three Home games.
Tip; 23/1 2-2. West Brom have been known for end of season shenanigans, but, their win against Chelsea may have been that game. You can expect goals here though, but, with little motive for either side, a goal-draw seems likely.
Aston Villa vs. Burnley
Already relegated Burnley will come into this one the happier of the sides, Villa were recently pulverized 6-1 by Southampton, whilst Burnley managed a respectable draw against one of this seasons best teams in Stoke.
Stats; The reason Burnley struggled to cope in the PL, they have failed to score in seven of their last eight League games. Four of Burnley’s last five games have ended with the score-line of 1-0.
Tip; 8/1 Aston Villa 1-0. Although they had a torrid last game, Sherwood will want them to come back. Burnley will want to go out of the League with a bang, but, where would that ‘bang’ come from?
Chelsea vs. Sunderland
Chelsea were thoroughly beaten by a rampant West Brom last week, with the blues’ players obviously looking to their Summers ahem, Fabregas, ahem. Sunderland clinched PL survival with a brilliant display in their 0-0 with Arsenal mid-week, with absolutely fantastic scenes post-final whistle from the Sunderland players and staff.
Stats; Chelsea remain unbeaten at Home this season, can Sunderland be the team to put that to rest? Probably not, as they haven’t won in nine of their last ten Away games. They have though, kept clean sheets in their last three games.
Tip; 9/1 Chelsea 2-1. Sunderland won’t produce the same performance as they did against Arsenal, they know they’re safe now, so expect them to just try to enjoy this one. Mourinho, on the other hand, will demand his team finishes on a high.
Crystal Palace vs. Swansea
Swansea are as highly placed as they can finish the season, Crystal Palace meanwhile still could finish in the top 10 with an away win. Both managers have done exceedingly well in their respective situations; Pardew since his move from Newcastle, and, Monk achieving Swansea’s highest points tally in the PL. The Swansea fullbacks will be hoping Bolasie doesn’t replicate his performance from last week against Liverpool.
Stats; Gomis has scored five goals in his last five games, Palace have lost their last five Home games coinciding with them conceding two goals in their last three Home games.
Tip; 6/1 Bafetimbi Gomis to score first. He’s been on a roll recently, and, I can’t see Palace stopping that.
Everton vs. Tottenham
Everton have improved over the final stages of this season, which is lucky, considering how poorly they were doing! Tottenham on the other hand have had their customary end of season burnout, they haven’t impressed in some time. Everton could get a top 10 finish with a win, whilst depending on Liverpool’s result, Tottenham could finish fifth.
Stats; There have been under 2.5 goals in 14 of Tottenham’s last 15 Away PL games. Lukaku has been getting into form as the season comes to a close, whilst Kane hasn’t scored for four games, which considering the form he was in, is some while.
Tip; 9/1 Everton 2-1. Other than the recent defeat at Home to Hull, you have to go back to December for Everton’s last Home defeat.
Hull vs. Manchester United
Simply put, Hull need to win, or they will be relegated. Even if they do win, they will need to hope Newcastle lose. A Newcastle draw, could see Hull stay up on goal difference, but, they won’t want to leave it down to GD at the end of play.
Stats; Hull have lost their last three games, leaving them in this perilous position. Steve Bruce has failed to beat Manchester United in his 21 games as a manager against them.
Tip; 12/1 Hull City 1-0. Man Utd have let a few teams go on to perform a great escape on the final day of the season, with Hull in desperate need of the win, a low scoring win is on the cards.
Leicester vs. QPR
The battle of the two teams who were expected to go down; one has lost only once in their last eight, the other has already succumbed to relegation. QPR will be playing for their fans, as they did against Newcastle last week to good results, as well as trying not to finish rock bottom of the League. Leicester, will be looking to finish the season even stronger than they have, although they can’t climb any higher.
Stats; QPR have only won two of their last 23 Away PL games, whilst Leicester have kept five clean sheets in their last six games.
Tip; 12/1 Leicester 3-1. Leicester have been absolutely brilliant as of late, showing brilliant attacking play and team work. QPR…haven’t.
Manchester City vs. Southampton
A Man City win would make the gap between first and second look a little more respectable at the seasons end, a Southampton win could secure a fifth placed finish, depending on both Liverpool and Tottenham’s results. City have finished the season strongly, just pipping Arsenal to the second spot, Southampton on the other hand have faded recently and are lucky to still be in with a shout of finishing fifth.
Stats; Both sides have recently won a game in which they’ve scored SIX goals. Man City have won their last six Home games whilst Southampton have lost their last four Away games.
Tip; 12/1 Man City 3-1. The two teams have scored bags of goals lately, but Southampton have still been poor recently defensively.
Newcastle vs. West Ham
Both sides have been nothing short of terrible in 2015. Luckily for West Ham, they had their pre-Christmas form to keep them safe, Newcastle, were not so fortunate. A win for Newcastle would guarantee safety, whilst a draw would rely on Hull’s efforts in their attempt to survive. West Ham meanwhile will be trying to secure a top 10 finish with a win.
Stats; The two sides between them have only mustered FIVE PL wins through 2015. West Ham have failed to score in six of their eight last Away games, culminating in them losing their last 11 Away games. Newcastle have lost nine of their last 10 games.
Tip; 9/2 Kevin Nolan anytime scorer. Kevin Nolan could score his 100th PL goal, which incidentally, could well relegate his old team.
Stoke vs. Liverpool
Stoke have had a superb season, if they had not lost Moses and Bojan for sizeable parts of the season, who knows what more they could have achieved. Liverpool on the other hand have had a real mixed bag of a season. This will be Steven Gerrard’s last game before leaving the club for the MLS next season.
Stats; Stoke have lost two of their last five games against Liverpool at Home. Stoke have lost just once in their last six games, and have been formidable at Home for the majority of the season, as is expected from them now.
Tip; 13/1 Stoke 2-1. Whilst Liverpool need a win to secure a fifth placed finish, Stoke are no pushovers at Home and will want this win more.
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